Nobody would ever mistake any of the ITR staff for Creedence Clearwater Revival on karaoke night, but just as CCR saw a bad moon rising, we see a red wave. Our lyrics would start:
We see a red wave a-risin'
There's an election comin' soon
We fear local budgets over flowin'
There's a red wave on the rise
How do we know? The ITR Foundation Poll.
Yesterday's poll shows tremendous support for conservative candidates up and down the ballot. The Generic Ballot tested at +17 for the GOP, indicating the strongest political environment for Republicans in generations.
The almost 17-point margin on the generic ballot is nearly three times the 6-point margin from the 2020 election when Republicans won three of the four congressional seats and wide majorities in the Iowa legislature.
Governor Reynolds was the most popular person tested and has a high net favorability. Reynolds' popularity is in stark contrast to that of President Biden, who remains deeply unpopular with Iowa voters.
Reynolds leads by 20.6 points on the gubernatorial ballot over Democrat nominee Deidre DeJear (58.6 to 38.0).
Voters appear ready to give Governor Reynolds a mandate for four more years of solid conservative leadership. The ITR Foundation Poll is yet another indicator that Reynolds is on her way to a commanding victory in November.
Her 21-point lead shows she is even performing ahead of the generic ballot's 17-point margin. A generic Republican is polling well, but conservative Governor Reynolds performs even better.
She has been a champion for the traditional values Iowans believe in, and she has stood up to the woke cultural agenda. Voters recognize and support the direction she is leading the state.
Senator Chuck Grassley holds a 54.1 to 39.7 lead over Democrat Mike Franken.
Grassley's 14-point lead is an improvement from the ITR Foundation's July poll in which he had an 8-point lead.
The closest race in tested in the survey has Republican Brenna Bird holding a 45.7 to 42.6 point lead over Democrat incumbent state Attorney General Tom Miller.
The longest-serving Democrat in Iowa with a long history of winning by large margins has yet to get out of the mid-40s. It is significant when an incumbent, who voters are aware of can't reach 50 percent in a poll.
President Biden is very unpopular with 64 percent of Iowans having an unfavorable opinion of him. That amount is even higher with independent voters where 69 percent view him as unfavorable.
In a hypothetical matchup, Donald Trump would defeat Joe Biden by 10 points, up from an 8-point win in 2020.
The top issue as Iowans head to the polls next month remains inflation, as abortion has dropped in importance and healthcare has increased since July.
The previous ITR Foundation poll from July was fielded shortly after the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs. Since that poll, the electorate in Iowa has shifted to the right and are prepared to emphatically re-elect conservative leadership.
Iowa voters are clearly focused on the fallout from the Biden economy, with inflation and the cost of living being the top issue deciding voter preference.
A majority of Iowans strongly oppose canceling existing college loan debt (57.9 percent) but support the proposed constitutional amendment adding the "right to keep and bear arms" to our state constitution (62.2 percent) and setting limits on local governments (56.1 percent).
A majority of Iowans strongly oppose canceling existing college loan debt (57.9 percent) but support the proposed constitutional amendment adding the "right to keep and bear arms" to our state constitution (62.2 percent) and setting limits on local governments (56.1 percent).
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